Link:
'History Will Judge Us All On Our Actions'July 31, 2006; Page A10 of the Wall Street Journal
I keep trying to figure Aoun out.
In the late 1980's, in his wars against the Syrian army and the Lebanese Forces militia, he was immensely popular with most Christians (and others) in Lebanon who desperately wanted an end to Syrian hegemony and a return of a strong centralized government (as opposed to the fracticious militia-ruled country that Lebanon had become). After he was driven out by the Syrians in 1990, he escaped to France while his followers in Lebanon (the Free Patriotic Movement, or FPM) led the way - sometimes painfully alone - in demanding Syria to leave Lebanon. Aoun in the 1990's was a leader in lobbying his anti-Syrian stance in the West, especially in the USA. He continued to have a very strong base of support among Lebanon's Christians, both in Lebanon and abroad.
Aoun only returned to Lebanon after PM Rafiq Hariri was assasinated and the Syrian army was expelled in 2005. He then set about trying to re-enter political life, only to be rebuffed by many in the 'Cedar Revolution'. Aoun, for better or worse, did not compromise with these politicians (Jumblatt, Hariri, among others) and instead fixed himself as an "opposition leader". This further fragmented the political landscape in Beirut and earned Aoun a lot of ire and confused ex-followers, especially when he started consorting (politically) with pro-Syrian dwarfs like Franjieh and Karami, and most especially after he sat down and formed a memorandum-of-understanding (MOU) of sorts with Hizbollah (HA).
I've personally both admired and reviled the guy over the years - but I can say the same exact thing about Jumblatt, Hariri and Geagea. I've always seen HA as a threat to Lebanon, as I always felt that their loyalties did not lie with Lebanon (just like all the other war-time militias of Lebanon).
In the WSJ article, Aoun admiringly (although a little Pollyana-ishly) states:
"I ask, will other Arab countries and leaders have the courage to acknowledge that Israeli life is equal to Arab life? Will Israel have the courage as well to acknowledge that Lebanese life is equal to Israeli life, and that all life is priceless? I believe that most Israeli and Arab citizens would answer in the affirmative. Can we get their governments and their leaders to do the same?"
But then he lost me in explaining his MOU with HA. He says:
"We also agreed that...all Lebanese political groups should disengage themselves from regional conflicts and influences."
Aoun, didn't you see that you were making a deal with the devil? HA went ahead and did just what you thought they agreed not to do: they engaged (hell, they forced) themselves in dictating Lebanon's foreign policy and attacked Israel.
On the matter of his alienation with the "anti-Syrian" politicos in the Lebanese government (read: Hariri, Jumblatt, etc...), he quite correctly claims:
"Rather than help us to resolve the weapons issue peacefully and avoid the current agony our country is now enduring, the international community and Lebanese government flatly ignored the proposed solution. Many of Lebanon's main political players cast us aside as "pro-Syrian" "allies" of Hezbollah. No matter. These are the same individuals who -- only a year before -- branded me a "Zionist agent" and brought treason charges against me when I dared to testify before a Congressional subcommittee that Syria should end its occupation of my country."
So while Aoun can be a contradictory man, he nevertheless brings up two very salient points that I like: the Arab world and Israel need to view each other with more humanity, and Lebanon's current roster of politicians are ninnies (yeah, even Aoun).
My take?
1) The current HA/Israeli conflict was inevitable because HA doesn't give a second thought about what's "good for Lebanon". They take their cues from Iran and Syria anyway. I mean, what was Israel going to do with HA's continuing menace??? And, trust me, regardless of the emotional rhetoric you hear today, most Lebanese know and understand this.
2) Lebanon's fracticious, alienated, weak and sectarian government is its biggest failing and if addressed correctly, will solve 99% of the problems vis-a-vis Israel (eventual peace), Syria (deliniation of the border and prosperous and fair commercial ties), and the sectarian rift that continues to bleed the country dry and threaten a new civil war.
We need a new Rebuplic in Lebanon. This one has failed miserably.